Jude Bellingham heads the list of the 100 players worldwide with the top estimated transfer value according to the statistical model exclusively developed by the CIES Football Observatory research team. His owner club, Borussia Dortmund, could potentially earn up to €208m by transferring the 19-year-old English prodigy. With Bellingham’s contract running out in June 2025, this is probably the transfer window during which the Germans could make the biggest profit.

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Raffaele Poli
Roger Besson
Loïc Ravenel
Thomas Gonzalez

Despite relatively short contracts lasting until June 2024, Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior are also in the top four (both €191m), just ahead of Premier League top scorer Erling Haaland (€175m). With a contract running until 2027, the latter’s value is set to rise in the coming months to approach or even surpass that of the players ranked ahead of him, including that of his Manchester City’s teammate Phil Foden (€200m), currently second.

The greatest estimated value for players outside of the big-5 was measured for the recent World Cup winner Enzo Fernández (€80m). The estimates for all big-5 league players are available in free access here. A paper presenting the method used is also available in the peer-review and open access journal Economies. An online platform with the valuations of >30k players from 75 leagues worldwide is accessible by subscription. Do not hesitate to contact us for more information.

Highest estimated transfer values (€ Million)

Date: 04/01/2023