The Weekly Post number 456 of the CIES Football Observatory presents the ten players with the highest estimated transfer values across 66 leagues worldwide (the most important outside the big-5). The rankings were drawn up on the basis of a powerful property statistical model*, explaining over 80% of the price differences observed for about 6,200 paying fee transfers that took place over the last decade.

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Editors:
Raffaele Poli
Roger Besson
Loïc Ravenel
Thomas Gonzalez

Stepping stone league to the big-5 per excellence, Portugal’s Primeira Liga brings together the three footballers playing outside the world’s top five competitions with the highest estimated transfer values: António Silva (Benfica, €114m), João Neves (Benfica, €95m) and Gonçalo Inácio (Sporting CP, €87m). Real Madrid's new recruit Endrick (Palmeiras, €80m) tops the list for players active outside Europe, ahead of compatriots Pedro (Flamengo, €42m) and Paulinho (Atlético Mineiro, also €42m).

The following players are the best valued in the other main leagues analysed: Jorrel Hato (€78m) in the Netherlands, Georgiy Sudakov (€52m) in Ukraine, Georginio Rutter (€41m) in the English Championship, Oscar Gloukh (€36m) in Austria, Matthew O'Riley (€31m) in Scotland, Antonio Nusa (€28m) in Belgium, Martin Baturina (€28m) in Croatia, Cristian Medina (€24m) in Argentina, Thiago Almada (€23m) in the MLS and Julián Quiñones (€21m) in Mexico.

*A scientific article referring only to transfers to big-5 league clubs, but whose approach converges with that now being deployed worldwide, is available in open access here. Transfer values for big-5 league players based on a scenario of three or more years of remaining contract are available here.

CIES Football Observatory estimated transfer value (€ Million)

Date: 15/03/2023 / * For players whose contracts are unknown: three-year scenario.

€ Million
Joueur
Club
Contract
Age
National A-team
 
114.7
António Silva (dc)
/SL Benfica (POR)
06/2027
20.3
POR
95.5
João Neves (md)
/SL Benfica (POR)
06/2028
19.4
POR
87.4
Gonçalo Inácio (dc)
/Sporting CP (POR)
06/2027
22.5
POR
80.5
Endrick Felipe (at)
/SE Palmeiras (BRA)
06/2030
17.6
BRA
78.4
Ousmane Diomandé (dc)
/Sporting CP (POR)
06/2027
19.2
CIV
78.1
Jorrel Hato (dc)
/AFC Ajax (NED)
06/2028
18.0
NED
72.8
Anatoliy Trubin (ga)
/SL Benfica (POR)
06/2028
22.6
UKR
71.5
Diogo Costa (ga)
/FC Porto (POR)
06/2027
24.4
POR
69.8
Brian Brobbey (at)
/AFC Ajax (NED)
06/2027
22.1
NED
66.4
Kenneth Taylor (md)
/AFC Ajax (NED)
06/2027
21.8
NED