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Fast runs index: England shows the way

Issue number 460 of the CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post ranks 30 leagues around the world according to a ’fast runs’ index based on three physical variables produced exclusively by SkillCorner: sprints, speed and accelerations*. Taking the average value of the scores measured for each team projected on a 100 basis, the English Premier League and Championship top the rankings.

Italy’s Serie A completes the podium just ahead of the Dutch Eredivisie, with the Swiss Super League in fifth place. The Brasileirão is the only non-European league of the seven analysed in the top 10 (ninth) with a value very close to those measured in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, the French Ligue 1 and the Spanish Liga. Mexico’s Liga MX, Italy’s Serie B and Argentina’s Primera División come bottom.

By club, the highest values were recorded for Chelsea, ahead of Tottenham and six other English clubs, including Liverpool, Manchester United and Championship’s Leicester City. The top ’fast runs’ indices for the other leagues in Europe’s big-5 were measured for Rayo Vallecano in the Liga, Bayern Munich (ahead of Bayer Leverkusen) in Bundesliga, RC Strasbourg (ahead of PSG) in Ligue 1, as well as Sassuolo in Serie A.

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* The variables taken into account are the frequency of high-speed runs (≥25 km/h for ≥0.7’’), the average maximum speeds reached by players and the frequency of their accelerations (>=10.8km/h/s for ≥0.7’’). The index is computed on a scale from 0 to 100 basis at team level from the standard score measured for each variable.

Best players per game area: new report

The CIES Football Observatory’s April report presents the exclusive approach developed on the basis of Wyscout data to identify the best performing outfield players in six areas of the game: ground defence, aerial play, distribution, take on, chance creation and finishing. The rankings refer to domestic league matches played during the last 365 days in 73 competitions worldwide.

The best index for ground defence was recorded for the Italian centre back Alessandro Buongiorno (Torino), followed by Chelsea’s Spaniard Marc Cucurella. In terms of aerial play, at centre back level, the Dutchman Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool) is ahead of Dan-Axel Zagadou (Stuttgart) from France. With regard to distribution, Toni Kroos (Real Madrid) and Granit Xhaka (Bayer Leverkusen) share the top spot.

Concerning take on, the Belgian Jérémy Doku (Manchester City) is ahead of the new Portuguese full international Francisco Conceição (Porto). In terms of chance creation, Ousmane Dembélé (Paris St-Germain) tops the table ahead of another world champion, Rodrigo de Paul (Atlético Madrid). Regarding finishing, the podium is made up of Harry Kane (Bayern Munich), Deniz Undav (Stuttgart) and Kylian Mbappé (Paris St-Germain).

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Rising stars: Yamal crushes the competition

Issue number 459 of the CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post presents the world’s top 100 players who have not yet turned 23 and whose transfer value* has increased the most over the last six months. Barcelona’s and Spain’s 16-year-old prodigy Lamine Yamal tops the list with an increase of €134m (from €11m to €145m).

Benfica’s Portuguese João Neves (+€72m) and Girona’s new Brazilian full international Sávio Moreira (+€70m) complete the podium. Other promising youngsters in the top positions include England’s and Chelsea’s Cole Palmer (fourth), Brazil’s and Palmeiras (on loan from Real Madrid) Endrick Felipe (sixth), as well as Belgium’s and Manchester City’s outstanding winger Jérémy Doku (seventh).

Players from 12 leagues and 55 clubs feature in the top 100 rankings, with a maximum of 29 footballers from the English Premier League, followed by the Spanish Liga (17), the German Bundesliga (14) and the French Ligue 1 (11). Brighton & Hove Albion is the most represented club in the top 100 (6 players), followed by Chelsea, Tottenham, Ajax and Eintracht Frankfurt (4 footballers).

*Estimated according to CIES Football Observatory statistical model.

>>> Top 100

Youth employment: world rankings

The 458th CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post highlights the teams in 61 leagues around the world having fielded U21 footballers* for the highest percentage of minutes in the domestic league matches played over the last 365 days. Two excellent training clubs from Eastern Europe top the list: Ukraine’s Rukh Lviv (52.2%) and Slovakia’s MŠK Žilina (44.5%).

The Post also presents the rankings for the age limits ranging from U19 to U23 players. The top-ranked clubs for each of these age thresholds in the five major European leagues are Toulouse for the U19s, Barcelona for the U20s (ahead of Brighton & Hove), Strasbourg for the U21s and U22s, as well as Frosinone for the U23s (ahead of Chelsea).

Among the clubs from the 24 non-European leagues analysed, the highest values were recorded for Australia’s Adelaide United at U19 and U20 levels, Colombia’s Envigado for U21 players, as well as Fortaleza CEIF for U22s and U23s. Developed exclusively by the CIES Football Observatory, this Demographic Atlas provides access to many indicators on the composition of the squads of clubs in 31 top divisions of UEFA associations.

* Players who had not yet celebrated their 21st birthday at the time of the match.

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Recruiting young: Red Bull shows the way

Issue number 457 of the CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post ranks almost 800 clubs from 48 leagues around the world according to the average age of recruitment of the first team players signed over the last ten transfer windows (July 2019 to date). The lowest value overall was recorded for the Austrians of RB Salzburg (20.93 years), while the highest was measured for the Qatari side Al-Gharafa SC (30.27 years).

Another member of the Red Bull galaxy, RB Bragantino, ranks second (21.72 years). The Basques of Athletic Club (21.90) complete the podium with nevertheless few recruitments, most of their players coming directly from the youth academy. Also in the top ten are Slovenia’s NK Bravo, two Ukrainian clubs (Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kyiv), two Belgians (Genk and Club Brugge), one Swede (Elfsborg) and one Slovakian (Ružomberok).

The Post also presents the average age of players signed during the penultimate five-year period (July 2014 to June 2019), which makes it possible to measure trends. Among the clubs having the most rejuvenated their recruitment, the top three are Athletic Club (-4.11 years), RB Bragantino (-4.07) and Brighton & Hove (-3.36). At the other end of the scale, the teams that have opted for more experienced signings notably include Fluminense (+2.95 years), Olympique Lyonnais (+2.39) and Inter (+2.32).

>>> Data for 777 clubs

Non-big-5 transfer values: top 10s for 66 leagues

The Weekly Post number 456 of the CIES Football Observatory presents the ten players with the highest estimated transfer values across 66 leagues worldwide (the most important outside the big-5). The rankings were drawn up on the basis of a powerful property statistical model*, explaining over 80% of the price differences observed for about 6,200 paying fee transfers that took place over the last decade.

Stepping stone league to the big-5 per excellence, Portugal’s Primeira Liga brings together the three footballers playing outside the world’s top five competitions with the highest estimated transfer values: António Silva (Benfica, €114m), João Neves (Benfica, €95m) and Gonçalo Inácio (Sporting CP, €87m). Real Madrid’s new recruit Endrick (Palmeiras, €80m) tops the list for players active outside Europe, ahead of compatriots Pedro (Flamengo, €42m) and Paulinho (Atlético Mineiro, also €42m).

The following players are the best valued in the other main leagues analysed: Jorrel Hato (€78m) in the Netherlands, Georgiy Sudakov (€52m) in Ukraine, Georginio Rutter (€41m) in the English Championship, Oscar Gloukh (€36m) in Austria, Matthew O’Riley (€31m) in Scotland, Antonio Nusa (€28m) in Belgium, Martin Baturina (€28m) in Croatia, Cristian Medina (€24m) in Argentina, Thiago Almada (€23m) in the MLS and Julián Quiñones (€21m) in Mexico.

*A scientific article referring only to transfers to big-5 league clubs, but whose approach converges with that now being deployed worldwide, is available in open access here. Transfer values for big-5 league players based on a scenario of three or more years of remaining contract are available here. Further information is available on request.

>>> Top 10s per league

Game intelligence data: new report

The 93rd CIES Football Observatory Monthly Report analyses the high-pressure data produced exclusively by the French company SkillCorner. It notably reveals the link between the frequency with which players are subjected to high intensity pressure from opponents, the position they occupy on the pitch and the style of play of their team.

During the 2023 and 2023/24 seasons, outfield players from teams in the 28 leagues studied experienced an average of 9.2 instances of high-intensity pressure per match. The highest values were measured for dominant teams: Manchester City (15.2 pressures per game), Bayer Leverkusen (13.9) and Columbus Crew (13.5). Manchester City also tops the table for the percentage of ball retention under high pressure (84.2%), followed by Real Madrid (81.2%) and Paris St-Germain (80.8%).

The study also highlights the players who stand out most positively in terms of ball retention under high pressure, based on the residuals of a statistical model that takes into account their position and their team’s style of play. This approach is particularly useful for scouting purposes to target recruits with an unexploited potential.

Access the Report for free.

More information about Skill Corner and our services on request.

Shooting efficiency: 900 clubs compared

The 455th CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post ranks teams from 54 leagues around the world according to their shooting efficiency. The latter was measured from the residuals of a statistical model explaining 78% of the differences in goals scored per team (not including penalties) on the basis of three variables produced by Wyscout: the number of expected goals according to the dangerousness of the chances created (also not including penalties), the number of shots on target and in total.

With 0.69 more non-penalty goals than expected per game, Greece’s PAOK FC have the most positive gap in absolute terms, reflecting judicious shooting decisions, as well as particularly effective finishing. Portugal’s Sporting CP (+0.59) and Italy’s AS Roma (+0.52) complete the podium. The Italians outrank Inter and Arsenal in the five major European leagues, followed by Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen and Valencia.

In terms of the most negative gaps, with 0.63 fewer goals than expected per game, Melbourne City top the list, ahead of four particularly inefficient big-5 league teams: OGC Nice (-0.56), Olympique Lyonnais (-0.49), Rayo Vallecano (-0.48) and Montpellier (-0.47). Everton and Köln are the least effective clubs in the other leagues of the European big-5, Go Ahead Eagles in the Dutch Eredivisie, Vizela and Benfica in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, as well as RSC Charleroi in the Belgian Pro League.

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World football’s super accelerators

The 454th CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post presents the 20 outfield players for six positions playing in 28 leagues around the world whose number of accelerations* per match (SkillCorner data) deviates most positively from the value expected with respect to their position and their team’s style of play (level of possession, pressure and verticality), according to a statistical model explaining more than half of the differences observed between players.

With 1.93 more accelerations per game than expected, Victor Osimhen (Napoli) ranks first among centre forwards. The Nigerian is ahead of Ghanaian Emmanuel Boateng (Rio Ave) and Ivorian Vakoun Bayo (Watford). Among the wingers, the podium is made up of Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano), Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo) and Felipe Anderson (Lazio). Dutchman Guus Til (PSV Eindhoven) tops the list for attacking midfielders.

As for the other positions, Sessi D’Almeida (Pau) is ahead of Josh Laurent (Stoke City) and 19-year-old Ezechiel Banzuzi (OH Leuven) among central or defensive midfielders; Jeremie Frimpong (Bayer Leverkusen) crushes the competition for wing or full backs with the greatest positive gap overall (x2.1 compared to the expected value) ahead of Marlon Fossey (Standard Liège); Danilo (Juventus), Ruan (Sassuolo) and Davinson (Galatasaray) make up the top three among centre backs.

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* Accelerations refer to runs of at least 0.7 seconds at >10.8 km/h/s. Only footballers who played at least 1,000 domestic league minutes in the current or last completed season, of which more than three quarters in the same position, are included in the rankings.

Penalty cards, fouls and injury time across the world

Issue number 453 of the CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post analyses the StatsPerform and Wyscout data on the number of cards, fouls and injury time measured over the last year for 71 leagues around the world. The study shows major differences between leagues in terms of all the indicators taken into account, reflecting different ways of interpreting the game by both players and referees.

In terms of red cards, the values range from 0.61 per match in Bolivia to 0.10 in the Japanese J2. For yellow cards, the extremes were measured in Uruguay (6.07) and, again, in the Japanese J2 (2.73). As for fouls, the maximum was recorded in the Brazilian Serie B (30.3 per match), while the minimum was observed in Norway and the Netherlands (20.0 in both cases). In terms of extra time, the data ranges from almost 14’ in Qatar and Saudi Arabia to 6’ in Finland and Slovakia.

If we relate the number of fouls to yellow cards (second yellow included), the values stretch from about one card every four fouls in Chile to one every eight in Japan. Among the European big-5 leagues, this ratio is much higher in the French Ligue 1 (6.8) than anywhere else (around 5), which may reflect either a lower propensity to hand out cards or a greater tendency on the part of referees to whistle for ‘small’ fouls.

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Transfer revenue streams: global mapping

The 92nd CIES Football Observatory Monthly Report analyses from a spatial perspective the origin of the >€75 billion transfer revenues collected by clubs worldwide between 2014 and 2023. Overall, clubs have generated around two-thirds of their transfer incomes from international deals. However, this proportion varies greatly from country to country, with a minimum of 37% for English clubs and a maximum of 73% for French teams among the big-5 league associations.

Teams from only three countries other than England - among the twenty whose clubs generated the most transfer incomes during the last decade - collected less money from foreign teams than from domestic ones: China (22%), Mexico (44%) and Italy (48%). The dependence on foreign transfers is much greater for clubs in associations such as Portugal (91%), the Netherlands (90%), Belgium (87%), Brazil (86%), Argentina (83%) or Turkey (77%).

For many countries, England is the main fund provider for international transfers. Among the nine other associations whose clubs received the most indemnities between 2014 and 2023, this is notably the case for the Netherlands (38% of total transfer revenues were generated from England), France (32%), Germany (31%), Spain (30%), Portugal (30%), Belgium (25%) and Italy (14%). Brazil (Spain) and Argentina (Italy) are the only exceptions.

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Transfer market makers and net spending

Number 452 of the CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post presents the 169 clubs in the world whose volume of incoming or outgoing player transactions over the last five seasons exceeded the €100 million threshold, as well as their net spending for the last ten, the last five and the last season. In terms of the volume of money exchanged, Chelsea is clearly in the lead with €2.572 billion, followed by Manchester City (€1.726) and Paris St-Germain (€1.404).

In total, 14 teams from seven countries have ’shuffled’ over a billion euros in five seasons: five from England, two from Spain, two from Germany, two from Italy, one from France, one from Portugal and one from the Netherlands. Twenty-four countries, including five outside Europe, are represented among the 169 teams whose volume of transactions exceeded €100 million, with a maximum of 30 clubs for England.

In terms of balance sheets, the values for the current season range from -€384m for Al-Hilal to +€167m for Southampton. Over the last five seasons, the figures stretch from -€782m for Chelsea to +€354m for Benfica. Finally, over the last decade, the values go from -€1.348bn for Manchester United (with only Chelsea also totalling a >€1bn deficit) to +€732m for Benfica. All the sums presented include any add-ons, regardless of their effective payment.

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